<?xml version="1.0" encoding="UTF-8"?><rss version="2.0"><channel><title>Alexey Gorodishenin — Blog</title><description>Notes on AI, management, and processes.</description><link>https://gorodishenin.com/</link><language>en</language><item><title>129 Hours Against 49: Anatomy of an Effort Estimation Error</title><link>https://gorodishenin.com/blog/estimation-error-129-hours/</link><guid isPermaLink="true">https://gorodishenin.com/blog/estimation-error-129-hours/</guid><description>We estimated a project at 49 hours and spent 129. The estimation error is almost never about hours — it is about undeclared scope creep and anchoring.</description><pubDate>Sat, 15 Aug 2026 00:00:00 GMT</pubDate></item><item><title>Minus 78% Time, Minus 95% Errors: An Agentic Process a Decade Before LLMs</title><link>https://gorodishenin.com/blog/agent-process-before-llm/</link><guid isPermaLink="true">https://gorodishenin.com/blog/agent-process-before-llm/</guid><description>In 2016 we automated proposal generation and got results companies now expect from AI. Here is what actually drove that outcome — and it wasn&apos;t the writing.</description><pubDate>Sat, 15 Aug 2026 00:00:00 GMT</pubDate></item><item><title>System of Record: Why Results Outside It Don&apos;t Exist for Your Company</title><link>https://gorodishenin.com/blog/system-of-record/</link><guid isPermaLink="true">https://gorodishenin.com/blog/system-of-record/</guid><description>Work that never reaches your system of record doesn&apos;t exist for the business. What error data on spreadsheets and data quality reveal, and how to fix it.</description><pubDate>Sat, 15 Aug 2026 00:00:00 GMT</pubDate></item><item><title>Process Observability: What You Should See a Month After Launch</title><link>https://gorodishenin.com/blog/process-observability/</link><guid isPermaLink="true">https://gorodishenin.com/blog/process-observability/</guid><description>A month after launch, if you can&apos;t pull up numbers on completed scenarios and failures, you launched a demo. Here are the three numbers that matter, and why.</description><pubDate>Sat, 15 Aug 2026 00:00:00 GMT</pubDate></item><item><title>The Last Mile of Adoption: Where Projects Die on the Way to the Desk</title><link>https://gorodishenin.com/blog/last-mile-of-adoption/</link><guid isPermaLink="true">https://gorodishenin.com/blog/last-mile-of-adoption/</guid><description>Digitization projects rarely fail on architecture — they fail in the final ten percent of the path to the user. A breakdown of adoption mechanics and how to measure it.</description><pubDate>Sat, 15 Aug 2026 00:00:00 GMT</pubDate></item><item><title>Digitisation Is Not Automation: Why a Project Clears Acceptance and Delivers No Effect</title><link>https://gorodishenin.com/blog/digitization-is-not-automation/</link><guid isPermaLink="true">https://gorodishenin.com/blog/digitization-is-not-automation/</guid><description>If no process rule changed, a project reports interface coverage instead of time saved. The warning signs to check for, backed by healthcare workload data.</description><pubDate>Sat, 15 Aug 2026 00:00:00 GMT</pubDate></item><item><title>Rules Before Model: How to Choose Between Automation and AI</title><link>https://gorodishenin.com/blog/rules-before-model/</link><guid isPermaLink="true">https://gorodishenin.com/blog/rules-before-model/</guid><description>Some tasks companies buy language models for are better solved with rules — cheaper and more predictable. Here&apos;s where that line falls and who owns the error.</description><pubDate>Sat, 15 Aug 2026 00:00:00 GMT</pubDate></item><item><title>A Statement of Work Earns Its Value From What It Excludes</title><link>https://gorodishenin.com/blog/requirements-document-scope/</link><guid isPermaLink="true">https://gorodishenin.com/blog/requirements-document-scope/</guid><description>A statement of work manages expectations, not the build itself. The out-of-scope list beats a solution description, backed by real requirements volatility data.</description><pubDate>Sat, 15 Aug 2026 00:00:00 GMT</pubDate></item><item><title>How to Calculate the ROI of an AI Use Case Before Launch, Not After</title><link>https://gorodishenin.com/blog/ai-use-case-business-case/</link><guid isPermaLink="true">https://gorodishenin.com/blog/ai-use-case-business-case/</guid><description>Calculating by hours saved almost always overstates the effect. The proper method: count eliminated operations and the failure rate, step by step.</description><pubDate>Sat, 15 Aug 2026 00:00:00 GMT</pubDate></item><item><title>Resistance to Change Is Data: Where It Actually Comes From</title><link>https://gorodishenin.com/blog/resistance-as-signal/</link><guid isPermaLink="true">https://gorodishenin.com/blog/resistance-as-signal/</guid><description>Resistance concentrates wherever a system takes control away from people, not workload. What change management should read from it, and why the term misleads.</description><pubDate>Sat, 15 Aug 2026 00:00:00 GMT</pubDate></item><item><title>Effort Estimation as a Process Stage, Not a Line in a Negotiation</title><link>https://gorodishenin.com/blog/effort-estimate-as-stage/</link><guid isPermaLink="true">https://gorodishenin.com/blog/effort-estimate-as-stage/</guid><description>An estimation stage needs a defined input, an owner, a documented output, and a re-estimation trigger. The data show how question format changes outcomes.</description><pubDate>Sat, 15 Aug 2026 00:00:00 GMT</pubDate></item><item><title>Events Beat Reports: Why a Process You Only See in Reporting Is Already Out of Control</title><link>https://gorodishenin.com/blog/event-over-report/</link><guid isPermaLink="true">https://gorodishenin.com/blog/event-over-report/</guid><description>A deviation that reaches a weekly report is already too late to fix. How events differ from metrics, and how to move a process onto event-driven management.</description><pubDate>Sat, 15 Aug 2026 00:00:00 GMT</pubDate></item><item><title>What Minus 78% Is Made Of: Decomposing the Automation Effect</title><link>https://gorodishenin.com/blog/rules-and-events/</link><guid isPermaLink="true">https://gorodishenin.com/blog/rules-and-events/</guid><description>An aggregate effect number can&apos;t be attributed to one change. How to decompose a result into assembly, delivery and events — and why skipping this makes it unrepeatable.</description><pubDate>Sat, 15 Aug 2026 00:00:00 GMT</pubDate></item><item><title>Process Defects With No Observer: Why They Survive for Years</title><link>https://gorodishenin.com/blog/invisible-process-defects/</link><guid isPermaLink="true">https://gorodishenin.com/blog/invisible-process-defects/</guid><description>The costliest process defects skip every internal report — only the client sees them, and stays silent instead of complaining. How to assign an observer.</description><pubDate>Sat, 15 Aug 2026 00:00:00 GMT</pubDate></item><item><title>Why You Fix the Process Before the System Rollout, Not Alongside It</title><link>https://gorodishenin.com/blog/fix-process-before-system/</link><guid isPermaLink="true">https://gorodishenin.com/blog/fix-process-before-system/</guid><description>Rolling out ERP or CRM on top of an unfixed process locks the mess into the configuration. A breakdown of three rollouts: what to settle before the project starts.</description><pubDate>Sat, 15 Aug 2026 00:00:00 GMT</pubDate></item><item><title>Why AI Pilots Fail: The Failure Is Built Into the Format</title><link>https://gorodishenin.com/blog/why-ai-pilots-fail/</link><guid isPermaLink="true">https://gorodishenin.com/blog/why-ai-pilots-fail/</guid><description>A pilot has no process owner, no system of record integration, and no deadline to sunset the old way. That design, not the model, decides the outcome.</description><pubDate>Sat, 15 Aug 2026 00:00:00 GMT</pubDate></item><item><title>A 50–90% Cut in Cycle Time: Why the Robotics Effect Varies So Widely</title><link>https://gorodishenin.com/blog/cycle-time-reduction-range/</link><guid isPermaLink="true">https://gorodishenin.com/blog/cycle-time-reduction-range/</guid><description>A results range this wide isn&apos;t measurement error — it depends on whether the automated step was the line&apos;s bottleneck. The mechanics and global robotics data.</description><pubDate>Sat, 15 Aug 2026 00:00:00 GMT</pubDate></item><item><title>Distributed Teams: What Breaks First Isn&apos;t the Connection — It&apos;s the Shared Definition of Done</title><link>https://gorodishenin.com/blog/distributed-team-readiness/</link><guid isPermaLink="true">https://gorodishenin.com/blog/distributed-team-readiness/</guid><description>In a team split across sites, it isn&apos;t communication that breaks — it&apos;s the shared definition of done. Data and analysis on distributed team readiness.</description><pubDate>Sat, 15 Aug 2026 00:00:00 GMT</pubDate></item><item><title>Process Length as a Metric: Why Seven Steps Work and Twenty Don&apos;t</title><link>https://gorodishenin.com/blog/seven-step-process-rule/</link><guid isPermaLink="true">https://gorodishenin.com/blog/seven-step-process-rule/</guid><description>What can&apos;t be recalled in full doesn&apos;t get followed. Why process length is a measurable predictor of compliance, and how to shorten it without losing content.</description><pubDate>Sat, 15 Aug 2026 00:00:00 GMT</pubDate></item><item><title>Counterparty Monitoring: A Screening Loop Without a Recipient Changes No Decisions</title><link>https://gorodishenin.com/blog/counterparty-monitoring-loop/</link><guid isPermaLink="true">https://gorodishenin.com/blog/counterparty-monitoring-loop/</guid><description>A monitoring loop&apos;s value comes not from the check but from routing results to the decision maker. A breakdown of the loop and payment-discipline data.</description><pubDate>Sat, 15 Aug 2026 00:00:00 GMT</pubDate></item><item><title>A Mandatory Field Costs Less Than Inspecting Its Output: The Forcing-Function Math</title><link>https://gorodishenin.com/blog/mandatory-field-economics/</link><guid isPermaLink="true">https://gorodishenin.com/blog/mandatory-field-economics/</guid><description>Banning an incomplete result costs less than downstream inspection by an order of magnitude. The math, the data on record quality, and where the method breaks.</description><pubDate>Sat, 15 Aug 2026 00:00:00 GMT</pubDate></item><item><title>The Cost Estimate as a Risk Model: Why Bids for the Same Job Differ by Multiples</title><link>https://gorodishenin.com/blog/estimate-as-risk-model/</link><guid isPermaLink="true">https://gorodishenin.com/blog/estimate-as-risk-model/</guid><description>The spread between bids isn&apos;t about job complexity — it&apos;s about how much uncertainty a vendor accepts. A look at the data behind estimate accuracy by class.</description><pubDate>Sat, 15 Aug 2026 00:00:00 GMT</pubDate></item><item><title>How to Measure Tool Adoption: Why the Active User Count Lies</title><link>https://gorodishenin.com/blog/measuring-tool-adoption/</link><guid isPermaLink="true">https://gorodishenin.com/blog/measuring-tool-adoption/</guid><description>Active users is a metric that grows from curiosity alone. Real adoption is measured by the completed scenario rate — here&apos;s how to calculate it in practice.</description><pubDate>Sat, 15 Aug 2026 00:00:00 GMT</pubDate></item><item><title>A Champion Network Beats Training: Who Colleagues Actually Ask</title><link>https://gorodishenin.com/blog/champion-network-enablement/</link><guid isPermaLink="true">https://gorodishenin.com/blog/champion-network-enablement/</guid><description>Adoption spreads through the people colleagues turn to informally, not a training schedule. Here&apos;s the mechanics, plus data on opinion leaders&apos; measured impact.</description><pubDate>Sat, 15 Aug 2026 00:00:00 GMT</pubDate></item><item><title>Exiting a Business: The Sequence of Handing Over Processes Matters More Than the Sequence of Selling Assets</title><link>https://gorodishenin.com/blog/exit-from-closing-market/</link><guid isPermaLink="true">https://gorodishenin.com/blog/exit-from-closing-market/</guid><description>An exit is planned around the sequence of handing over processes, not selling assets. A breakdown of the mechanics from two of my own exits in eleven months.</description><pubDate>Sat, 15 Aug 2026 00:00:00 GMT</pubDate></item><item><title>China: Regulation as a Design Constraint, Not Background Noise</title><link>https://gorodishenin.com/blog/china-regulation-as-constraint/</link><guid isPermaLink="true">https://gorodishenin.com/blog/china-regulation-as-constraint/</guid><description>A foreign partner in China pays for fitting the structure, not for market access. The mechanics: negative list, data transfer thresholds and investment statistics.</description><pubDate>Sat, 15 Aug 2026 00:00:00 GMT</pubDate></item><item><title>China Deal Structure: Why Exit Terms Must Be Negotiated at Signing</title><link>https://gorodishenin.com/blog/china-deal-structure/</link><guid isPermaLink="true">https://gorodishenin.com/blog/china-deal-structure/</guid><description>Exit terms for a China joint venture get negotiated at deal structuring or never at all. A practical look at arbitration, FX procedure, and deal timelines.</description><pubDate>Sat, 15 Aug 2026 00:00:00 GMT</pubDate></item><item><title>Uzbekistan: What a Business Incubator Actually Delivers for Market Entry</title><link>https://gorodishenin.com/blog/uzbekistan-business-incubator/</link><guid isPermaLink="true">https://gorodishenin.com/blog/uzbekistan-business-incubator/</guid><description>A business incubator in an emerging market delivers access to decision makers, not funding. A delegation leader&apos;s account, plus current investment data.</description><pubDate>Sat, 15 Aug 2026 00:00:00 GMT</pubDate></item><item><title>UAE Free Zones: What Actually Sets Your Entry Timeline and Cost</title><link>https://gorodishenin.com/blog/uae-free-zone-entry/</link><guid isPermaLink="true">https://gorodishenin.com/blog/uae-free-zone-entry/</guid><description>A free zone competes on registration speed and licence cost, not on when your business starts operating. Procedures, tax rules and official statistics reviewed.</description><pubDate>Sat, 15 Aug 2026 00:00:00 GMT</pubDate></item><item><title>India: Contractor Rate Savings and the Cost of Coordination</title><link>https://gorodishenin.com/blog/india-contractor-coordination/</link><guid isPermaLink="true">https://gorodishenin.com/blog/india-contractor-coordination/</guid><description>Rate savings pay off only when you have your own requirements owner on your side. A breakdown of the mechanics and the measured cost of cross-site coordination.</description><pubDate>Sat, 15 Aug 2026 00:00:00 GMT</pubDate></item><item><title>Why this blog</title><link>https://gorodishenin.com/blog/hello-blog/</link><guid isPermaLink="true">https://gorodishenin.com/blog/hello-blog/</guid><description>The first post: why I&apos;m starting a blog, and what it will cover.</description><pubDate>Sat, 08 Aug 2026 00:00:00 GMT</pubDate></item></channel></rss>